Short-Term Temperature Trends within Long-Term Warming
Short-Term Temperature Trends within Long-Term Warming
The Earth's global average surface temperature from 1970 to 2009 can be modeled as a random walk with a warming trend. Despite the overall warming trend, short time periods can show cooling. Explore how the likelihood of short-term cooling in a random walk with a warming trend depends on the length of the time period and compare with the Earth's surface temperature.