WOLFRAM|DEMONSTRATIONS PROJECT

SEIRD Model for Analyzing Coronavirus (COVID-19) Pandemic

This Demonstration presents a susceptible-exposed-infectious-recovered-died (SEIRD) model for analyzing the coronavirus (COVID-19) pandemic. A control parameter
μ
with a value in the range
[0,1]
is introduced into the model to measure the effectiveness of a social distancing policy. The higher the value of
μ
, the more effective the control policy. The parameters of the model were obtained by using the vast data provided about the pandemic on a daily basis by several scientific organizations. The model makes predictions on the turning points and possible vanishing time of the pandemic for a given population and initial number of exposed persons.