WOLFRAM|DEMONSTRATIONS PROJECT

Expected Utility: Optimal Asset Investment

​
amount invested q
10
return
r
1
-0.8
return
r
2
0.8
r
1
's probability p
0.3
​An investor begins with 10 units of wealth that can be invested in a risky asset, or maintained as cash with no return. Assume the risky asset yields a rate of return of
r
1
or
r
2
with probabilities
p
and
1-p
, respectively, and let
q
be the number of units of wealth that the investor decides to invest in the asset. The value of the investor's portfolio at the end of the period will be
10-q+(1+r)q
. Let the two possible end-of-period values of the portfolio be
x
1
and
x
2
, shown above along the horizontal axis. The Bernoulli logarithmic utility function of wealth (constant relative risk aversion, CRRA) is plotted in blue. The orange line is a plot of the expected value and the corresponding expected utility of the portfolio for different values of
p
. The optimal portfolio is the one for which the expected utility is a maximum, as shown by the green dot.