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Dynamics of Seasonal Epidemics

time t
10.
season length T
10.
initally infected
I
0
1.×
-6
10
initial infection rate
β
0
3.
recovery rate γ
1
death rate μ
0.1
To study how the probability of getting a disease varies with the seasons of the year, this Demonstration analyzes a susceptibility-infection-recovery (SIR) model with a periodically varying infection rate. The model is a set of nonlinear differential equations with periodically varying parameters.
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