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Chaotic Attractor for the Solar Cycle

duration (time steps)
200
model parameters
β
1
χ
-0.6
ω
2
A
0.7
μ
0
q
0.09
ε
0.06
γ
-0.5
p
0.1
initial conditions
X
0
0
Y
0
1
x
0
0.01
y
0
0.1
α
0
-0.01
The solar activity model comprises two nearly independent nonlinear dynamical systems [1]. Model A represents the oscillatory mechanism underlying the solar cycle, and Model B represents the main convective dynamo of the Sun [3].
Model A is a two-dimensional nonlinear system, an oscillator localized in the tachocline,
dX
dt
=βX-ωY-(
2
X
+
2
Y
)X
,
dY
dt
=βY+ωX-(
2
X
+
2
Y
)Y
, where the parameters
β
and
ω
are referred to as a growth rate of the oscillations and the characteristic oscillation frequency of the tachocline, respectively.
Model B is a MooreSpiegel dynamical system that represents the turbulent convection dynamo produced by the convection zone,
dx
dt
=y
,
dy
dt
=Ax-
3
x
+α-q
2
X
-μy
,
dα
dt
=-εα+γx(
2
x
-1)
.
Here, to reproduce the kind of on/off intermittency displayed by the solar cycle, the chaotic oscillator in Model B drives Model A via a bifurcation parameter of a nonlinear oscillator with a Hopf bifurcation. The driving is represented by
β=
Β
(x-χ)
, where
β
controls the instability of Model A, and
Β
and
χ
are constants. In particular,
χ
is seen as the constant demand rate of magnetic flux down from the convection zone. To make spots,
x
has to be at least as large as
χ
.
To reproduce perturbations in the solar cycle during periods of no activity (intermittency) feedback is introduced in the form of
q
2
X
[2], for
0<q0.1
.
The theoretical sunspot number,
N=
2
(X-px)
, is defined in [3], inspired by the Zurich method of weighting groups of spots for
p=0.1
.
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