Managing COVID-19 Pandemic across Geography and Demography [United States Edition]

This dashboard provides important historical information and forecasts for the growth of COVID-19 epidemic, as a function of social mobility, climate, population demographics, vaccination, and history of the disease in the United States communities. We assume 90% effective vaccine, adminintered within a month. The orange region shows the forecast (at 90% confidence level).

Important Note: Forecasts are subject to model, systematic, and statistical uncertainties.
If the evaluated county is different from what you had in mind, please provide more detail as County name or State.

For further information, see Dr. Afshordi's website


(-100%) total lockdown ........................................................................................ (normal activity) 0%

(0%) no face masks ........................................................................................ (widespread use) 99%

(0%) no vaccination .............................................................................. (widespread vaccination) 100%

30 days.......................................................................................................................................180 days