Managing COVID-19 Pandemic across Geography and Demography [United States Edition]

This dashboard provides important historical information and forecasts for the growth of COVID-19 epidemic, as a function of social mobility, climate, population demographics, and history of the disease in the United States communities. A 7-fold decrease in occupation density, OR widespread use of face masks is approximately equivalent to reducing Social Mobility by 24%. You can turn this on by clicking the checkbox below. The orange region shows the forecast (at 90% confidence level).

Important Note: Forecasts are subject to model, systematic, and statistical uncertainties.
If the evaluated county is different from what you had in mind, please provide more detail as County name or State.

For further information, see Dr. Afshordi's website


(-100%) total lockdown ........................................................................................ (normal activity) 0%

30 days.......................................................................................................................................180 days