# Forecasting with Exponential Moving Averages

Forecasting with Exponential Moving Averages

For stationary or nearly stationary data, the exponential moving average is a simple method for time-series forecasting. Choose between forecasting and smoothing to see the difference between them; is the smoothing parameter in the exponential moving average and is the mean square error between the forecast (red curve) and actual values of the data (blue curve). Larger values of cause less smoothing.

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