LLM aids for processing Putin's State-Of-The-Nation speech
LLM aids for processing Putin's State-Of-The-Nation speech
... given on February, 29, 2024
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Introduction
Introduction
In this notebook we provide aids and computational workflows for the analysis of Vladimir Putin's State Of The Nation speech given on February 29th, 2024. We use Large Language Models (LLMs). We walk through various steps involved in examining and understanding the speech in a systematic and reproducible manner.
The computations are done with a Raku chatbook , [AAp6, AAv1÷AAv3]. The LLM functions used in the workflows are explained and demonstrated in [AA1, AAv3]. The workflows are done with OpenAI's models [AAp1]. Currently, the models of Google's (PaLM), [AAp2], and MistralAI, [AAp3], cannot be used with the workflows below because their input token limits are too low.
Remark: An important feature of the LLM workflows (and underlying models) is that although the speech transcript is in Russian, the LLM results are in English.
A similar set of workflows is described in "LLM aids for processing of the first Carlson-Putin interview" , [AA2], and it has been reused to a large degree below.
The following table -- derived from Putin's speech -- should be of great interest to people living in Western countries (with governments that want to fight Russia):
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# | name | Russian name | type | status | description | damage |
1 | Кинжал | Hypersonic aviation complex | Deployed | A hypersonic missile system capable of carrying nuclear and conventional warheads, designed to destroy key targets with high precision and at high speeds. | High | |
2 | Циркон | Hypersonic missile system (naval) | Used in combat | A sea-based hypersonic cruise missile designed to attack ships and ground targets, known for its speed and ability to penetrate defenses. | High | |
3 | Авангард | Hypersonic glide vehicle | On combat duty | A re-entry vehicle equipped with a hypersonic glide system, capable of carrying nuclear weapons. It is designed to be mounted on intercontinental ballistic missiles. | High | |
4 | Пересвет | Laser weapon system | Deployed | A laser system reportedly capable of blinding satellites and enemy vehicles, part of Russia's advanced non-kinetic weaponry. | Variable | |
5 | Буревестник | Nuclear-powered cruise missile | Undergoing tests | A cruise missile with potentially unlimited range, powered by a nuclear reactor, designed for strategic bombing with both conventional and nuclear warheads. | High | |
6 | Посейдон | Nuclear-powered unmanned underwater vehicle | Undergoing tests | An autonomous underwater vehicle intended for attacking coastal targets, such as port cities and aircraft carrier groups, with nuclear warheads. | Catastrophic | |
7 | Сармат | Intercontinental ballistic missile | Entering service | A heavy intercontinental ballistic missile designed to replace the aging Soviet-built R-36M missiles, capable of carrying multiple nuclear warheads. | Catastrophic |
Structure
Structure
The structure of the notebook is as follows:
1
.Getting the speech text and setup
Standard ingestion and setup.
Standard ingestion and setup.
2
.Summary
The speech in brief.
The speech in brief.
3
.Themes
TL;DR via a table of themes.
TL;DR via a table of themes.
4
.Important parts
What are the most important parts or most provocative statements?
What are the most important parts or most provocative statements?
5
.Talking to the West
LLM pretends to be Putin and addresses the West.
LLM pretends to be Putin and addresses the West.
6
.Weapons tabulation
For people living in the West.
For people living in the West.
Getting the speech text and setup
Getting the speech text and setup
Here we define a text statistics function:
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Clear[TextStats];TextStats[t_String]:=AssociationThread[{"Chars","Words","Lines"},{StringLength[t],Length@TextWords[t],Length@StringSplit[t,"\n"]}];
Ingest text
Ingest text
Here we ingest the text of the speech:
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txtRU=Import["https://raw.githubusercontent.com/antononcube/RakuForPrediction-blog/main/Data/Putin-State-of-the-Nation-Address-2024-02-29-Russian.txt"];txtRU=StringReplace[txtRU,RegularExpression["\\v+"]->"\n"];TextStats[txtRU]
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Chars93212,Words12661,Lines290
LLM access configuration
LLM access configuration
Here we configure LLM access -- we use OpenAI's model "gpt-4-turbo-preview" since it allows inputs with 128K tokens:
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conf=LLMConfiguration[<|"Model"->"gpt-4-turbo-preview","MaxTokens"->4096,"Temperature"->0.6|>]
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LLMConfiguration
LLM functions
LLM functions
Here we define an LLM translation function:
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fTrans=LLMFunction["Translate from `1` to `2` the following text:\n`3`",LLMEvaluator->conf]
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LLMFunction
Here we make a function of extracting significant parts from the interview:
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fProv=LLMFunction["Which are the top `1` most `2` in the following speech? Answer in English.\n\n"<>txtRU,LLMEvaluator->conf]
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LLMFunction
Summary
Summary
Here we summarize the speech via an LLM synthesis:
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LLMSynthesize[{"Summarize -- in English -- the following speech within 300 words.\n\n",txtRU},LLMEvaluator->conf]
In his speech, President Vladimir Putin addressed the Federal Assembly, emphasizing the future-oriented nature of the address, focusing on both immediate plans and strategic tasks vital for Russia's confident, long-term development. He highlighted that the action plan was shaped through direct interactions with workers, engineers, doctors, teachers, scientists, volunteers, entrepreneurs, large families, war veterans, volunteers, soldiers, and officers of the Russian Armed Forces. Putin stressed the importance of public discussions in realizing these initiatives, acknowledging the challenges ahead but expressing confidence in Russia's ability to tackle complex issues, as demonstrated by past achievements such as countering international terrorism and maintaining national unity.
Putin outlined Russia's support for its people, particularly in regions like Crimea and Donbass, expressing pride in the patriotism and courage shown by its citizens. He highlighted Russia's response to the global pandemic, emphasizing values of mercy, mutual support, and solidarity. The speech also touched upon Russia's defense of its sovereignty and security, particularly in protecting the lives of compatriots in Donbass and New Russia, emphasizing the unity and dedication of Russian citizens in this struggle.
Furthermore, Putin discussed economic achievements, including wage increases and the growth of Russia's economy, which outpaced many global powers. He credited these successes to the resilience and strategic planning of the past decades, which ensured a diversified, technologically advanced economy less reliant on raw materials. Putin set ambitious goals for further economic development, aiming for Russia to become one of the world's top four economies, enhancing citizens' incomes, and ensuring Russia's technological sovereignty in critical areas.
Putin proposed various measures to support regions, small and medium-sized businesses, and the development of infrastructure, including transportation and digital technology. He stressed the significance of environmental conservation, education, culture, and the promotion of patriotic values among the youth. Notably, Putin announced initiatives to honor and integrate veterans of the special military operation into civilian and leadership roles, reflecting a vision of a patriotic, unified, and forward-looking Russia.
Throughout the speech, Putin called for solidarity, resilience, and a collective effort to achieve Russia's ambitious goals, ensuring a prosperous future for the country and its people.
Themes
Themes
Here we make an LLM request for finding and distilling the themes or the speech:
Here we tabulate the found themes:
Important parts
Important parts
Most important statements
Most important statements
Here we get the most important statements:
Given the extensive nature of the speech, identifying the top 3 most important statements depends on the context of what one considers "important"—whether it be strategic goals, domestic policies, military actions, or socio-economic initiatives. However, based on the broad significance and impact, the following three statements can be highlighted as critically important:
1
.Strategic Development and Sovereignty : "Самостоятельность, самодостаточность, суверенитет нужно доказывать, подтверждать каждый день. Речь идёт о нашей и только нашей ответственности за настоящее и за будущее России. Это наша родина, родина наших предков, и она нужна и дорога только нам и, конечно, потомкам, которым мы обязаны передать сильную и благополучную страну."
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This statement underscores the importance Putin places on Russia's autonomy, self-sufficiency, and sovereignty, emphasizing the responsibility to maintain and strengthen these principles for the country's future.
2
.Special Military Operation and its Heroes : "Такие, безусловно, не отступят, не подведут и не предадут. Они и должны выходить на ведущие позиции и в системе образования и воспитания молодёжи, и в общественных объединениях, в госкомпаниях, бизнесе, в государственном и муниципальном управлении, возглавлять регионы, предприятия в конечном итоге, самые крупные отечественные проекты."
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This part highlights the role and valor of those participating in what Russia calls the "special military operation," suggesting they should be integrated into leading positions across all sectors of society, reflecting the operation's significance in Putin's vision for Russia.
3
.Long-term Development Plans and Investments : "Несмотря на сложный период, несмотря на нынешние испытания и трудности, мы намечаем долгосрочные планы. Программа, которую обозначил сегодня в Послании, носит объективный и фундаментальный характер. Это программа сильной, суверенной страны, которая уверенно смотрит в будущее. Для достижения поставленных целей у нас есть и ресурсы, и колоссальные возможности."
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This statement underlines Putin's commitment to Russia's long-term strategic development and investments despite current challenges, portraying an optimistic and determined vision for the country's future.
These statements encapsulate key themes of sovereignty, military valor, and long-term development, which are recurrent in Putin's address, highlighting their importance in the broader context of Russia's direction and policies under his leadership.
Most provocative statements for the West
Most provocative statements for the West
Here we (try to) get the most provocative statements form Western's politician's point of view:
Given the extensive content of the speech, identifying the top 3 most provocative statements from a Western politician's point of view involves subjective interpretation, as what might be considered provocative can vary depending on specific sensitivities and current geopolitical contexts. However, based on the themes and assertions made in Vladimir Putin's speech, here are three statements or themes that could be seen as particularly provocative or significant from a Western perspective:
1
.Defense of the "Russian Spring" and actions in Crimea and Donbass : Putin's celebration of the 10th anniversary of the "Russian Spring" and the pride in the actions of Crimea, Sevastopol, and the people of Donbass could be seen as provocative. This is because the annexation of Crimea by Russia in 2014 and the ongoing conflict in Eastern Ukraine are viewed by many Western countries as violations of international law and Ukraine's sovereignty.
2
.Criticism of the West and Claims of Western Aggression : Putin's assertion that the West, with its "colonial habits" of inciting national conflicts globally, aims not just to contain Russia's development but to turn it into a dependent territory, reflects a strong criticism of Western policies. He accuses the West of wanting to bring discord and weaken Russia from within, similar to what he claims was done in Ukraine. This portrayal of the West seeking Russia's strategic defeat could be seen as particularly provocative amid current tensions.
3
.Strategic Nuclear Forces Readiness and Advanced Weapons Development : Putin's statement about the readiness of Russia's strategic nuclear forces and the mention of advanced weapons systems, such as hypersonic missiles and other strategic capabilities, could be viewed as a provocative show of military strength. The emphasis on nuclear readiness and the development of weapons that can bypass missile defense systems underscore the ongoing arms race and can be seen as a direct challenge to NATO and Western military capabilities.
These points, among others in the speech, reflect Russia's stance on key geopolitical issues, its criticism of Western policies, and its emphasis on military and strategic strength. The provocative nature of these statements lies in their challenge to the current international order and the implications for security and stability in Europe and beyond.
Talking to the West
Talking to the West
Taking into account the content of the LLM results above here we craft and execute a special prompt that makes the LLM "pretend" that it is V. Putin and addresses bellicose Western politicians:
As the speaker of the address, I would emphasize to Western politicians the formidable capabilities of Russia, particularly highlighting our advanced weapons systems and our resilience in the face of economic sanctions.
Let me be clear: Russia possesses a wide array of sophisticated weaponry, including the hypersonic "Kinzhal" aviation missile system, which has already demonstrated its effectiveness. We also have the "Tsirkon" hypersonic missile for naval deployment, the "Avangard" hypersonic glide vehicle, and the "Peresvet" laser combat system. Additionally, the "Burevestnik" cruise missile with unlimited range and the "Poseidon" unmanned underwater vehicle are in the final stages of testing. These are not just weapons; they are a testament to Russia's technological prowess and strategic patience.
Moreover, our strategic nuclear forces remain on high alert, ensuring our security and global stability. This formidable arsenal serves as a clear message to those who attempt to threaten us: Russia is capable of defending its sovereignty and its allies with unparalleled might.
On the economic front, despite the barrage of sanctions aimed at weakening our economy, we have not only withstood these challenges but have emerged stronger in many respects. Our economy has demonstrated flexibility and resilience, with significant growth in non-resource and non-energy sectors. We have achieved self-sufficiency in food production, becoming a leading global exporter of wheat, and we are making substantial investments in our technology and industrial sectors to further reduce our dependence on imports.
To the bellicose politicians in the West, I say: underestimate Russia at your peril. Our history, our capabilities, and our resolve should not be taken lightly. We are committed to peace and stability, but we will not hesitate to use our formidable strengths to protect our nation and its interests.
Let this serve as a reminder of the futility of aggression against Russia. Instead, we should seek dialogue and cooperation to address the global challenges we all face. Only through mutual respect and understanding can we ensure a secure and prosperous future for our world.
Weapons tabulation
Weapons tabulation
From the point of views of Western citizens and politicians of great interest (should be) the statements in the speech that discuss weapons for mass destruction and weapons that give decisive military advantage. Here we synthesize an LLM response that tabulates mentioned weapons' names, status, and descriptions:
Here we convert the result above into a Dataset object:
Here we render the table:
Remark: We could have specified in the prompt the following column names to be used: "name_english, name_russian, type, status, description, damage". But it turns out that (with the LLM current models) the results are less reproducible. Hence we use "name, type, status, description, damage" and adjust with corresponding translations below.
Since the results of the above LLM synthesis are often given in Russian or have interlaced Russian and English names or phrases here we translate the LLM result into English:
Here we derive a dictionary of weapon names and corresponding Wikipedia URLs:
Here is a direct assignment of one the results of the code above, for which we have verified the hyperlinks:
Here we craft a prompt with which we merge the Russian names column of the weapons table derived first into the translated table:
Here we make a corresponding table and modify the (English) names column to have hyperlinks:
Setup
Setup
References
References
Articles
Articles
[AA2] Anton Antonov, "LLM aids for processing of the first Carlson-Putin interview" , (2024), RakuForPrediction at WordPress .
[OAIb1] OpenAI team, "New models and developer products announced at DevDay" , (2023), OpenAI/blog .
Packages
Packages
Videos
Videos
[AAv2] Anton Antonov, "Jupyter Chatbook multi cell LLM chats teaser (Raku)" , (2023), YouTube/@AAA4Prediction .
[AAv3] Anton Antonov "Integrating Large Language Models with Raku" , (2023), YouTube/@therakuconference6823 .